Shervin Pishevar’s prediction about the price of Bitcoin continuing to fall was accurate. The cryptocurrency market did not rebound after February. Much of the gains from 2017 were lost. The whole market was affected. Back in February, Shervin Pishevar saw interest rates and other factors weighing this industry down.
Shervin Pishevar is not a fortune teller, rather, he understands that the market is volatile. Investors do not have a lot of confidence in this market, and thus, are not willing to stick out the tough times. While this means there is more money to be made, it also makes it harder for cryptocurrency innovation.
Part of the reason that Shervin Pishevar projected continued market slippage through February is due to an industry trend. The cryptocurrency market has regularly risen at the end of the year. Then, market volatility tends to lead to a fast and sharp retraction.
The young industry is still overly influenced by the major markets. This is why its market cap grows and shrinks so quickly. Nevertheless, a correction follows the fall of prices at the beginning of the year. While it seems stable compared to the larger end-of-year volatility graph, this stability is detrimental to the uninformed, conservative crypto investor.
Cryptocurrencies are a highly technical industry. Its market cap is controlled by investors with more specialized knowledge than the fund behemoths of traditional financial markets. Conservative crypto investors must understand that innovation is not merely ongoing, it is rampant. Knowing about the more important looming releases illuminates price fluctuations. They may be subject to volatility, but at least they are backed by rational responses to market conditions.
Being uninformed in the cryptocurrency market is more detrimental to short term traders. There is a saying among crypto enthusiasts, “HODL”. Hold on for Dear Life, or HODL, is just one of the terms embraced by this community to cope with volatility unseen by any other market of this size. A long term investor that leaves their investment alone for several years allows innovation to reach its apex. This is the successful strategy that Shervin Pishevar alludes to.